Wednesday, June 29, 2011

The Secret of My (club’s) Success


The AFL is quickly moving away from the old model of what makes a good team (or more accurately, a good club. This distinction will become clear later.) Over the past few years, commentators have correctly made the point that it’s often a team’s bottom six players that get you over the line in finals. Most clubs have accepted that star players can only do so much, and when up against more evenly matched competition, it is how the lesser lights perform, how far the drop off is, that will bring success. In 2009, Lenny Hayes and Jimmy Bartel both played excellent Grand Finals, but Shannon Byrnes probably had a better game than Adam Schneider.

With today’s taxing forward press, a shortened bench and an extended season, the model is changing again. But let’s step back for a moment.

Over the past 10 years we’ve seen the flood evolve to the forward press, mid-fielders go from a group of about five to 15 and the bench change from a place of punishment or inadequacy to a self-regulated tool aimed at increasing effectiveness. The result of all this was more high-intensity play, more ground covered by the players, more bench rotations and the accepted knowledge that the game was, each year, becoming “faster than ever”.

The AFL’s governing body acknowledged all this and reacted by shortening the amount of interchange players and implementing the substitution rule. The idea of which, it seems, was to force exhausted players to remain in the game and thus lower the intensity, for periods at least, which would allow the game to “open up”; if players are too tired to constantly chase their opponent or effectively deploy a full press, then free-flowing play and goals should be easier to come by. In short, the AFL wanted to improve the spectacle.

As a fan, and initially a sceptic of the sub rule (or at least sceptical of it being brought into the season proper with a pre-season trial) I can say that the rule has pretty much achieved what the AFL hoped it would: The games are great to watch and they usually do open up in the second half as players begin to fatigue. Plus, there is the bonus of a return to the old-school tactic of your best on-ballers “resting” in the forward pocket, and the extra, interesting tactical angle of whom to make the sub and when to deploy him. The players, however, do not seem to be as enthusiastic.

Considering this is the first season of the sub rule, most times a player does media he is asked about it. And the prevailing sentiment is, “we are tiring more quickly and more thoroughly”. Indeed, as the players and AFL have been conducting their collective bargaining, the issue has come up: Players would prefer an extra bench player, a short season and shorter games (as well as more money).

So it appears we have the game itself looking as good and as entertaining as it ever has, only it’s coming at the expense of the player’s fitness and (perhaps) career longevity. Players are going to wear out as the year goes on, or may even submit to “fatigue” injuries more readily. So how does this impact the success and/or failure of the teams we support? (That’s right, I’m finally getting around to my point and the flimsy Michael J. Fox title tie-in.)

One of the great successes of Chris Scott in his first half a season of coaching (apart from not losing, of course) has been his embracing of change. Each week the Cats have made 3-4 changes, something that would normally be counterintuitive to the idea of team and continuity, but which has had a positive, two-fold effect on the team: One, he has regularly rested experienced players (only Joel Corey and Travis Varcoe have played every game thus far) and he has continued to promote and then maintain the younger brigade. What Scott is doing, essentially, is applying the English soccer model of managing a squad rather just playing the best available team. But this isn’t the secret I’m talking about.

The secret lies in the AFL’s ugly stepsister, the VFL. Only two AFL clubs run their VFL counterparts: Geelong and Collingwood. What this does is give the player a consistent message and experience, not only week to week, but also season to season. Obviously other AFL clubs and their affiliates would have plenty of communication and insight into each other but it cannot compare to the all-encompassing experience Geelong and Collingwood players receive.

Going back to the VFL for most players means a different coach, different instructions, perhaps a different position, new teammates, a different location and different expectation. For the Cats and Magpies, the message, the methods and feedback are consistent and continuous all the way through. That has to be a massive advantage: Even simple things such as training together and getting to know each other help build a team.

It’s even worse for the SA and WA teams; their players not only go back to the local state league of competition, but they all go to different teams. (Not surprisingly, I recently read that the Eagles have been in discussion with the WAFL to operate their own team next year, mirroring the Geelong a Collingwood experience. A wise move, it would seem.)

When Geelong made seven changes to their side last week, given the opposition and home ground advantage, most still expected them to win. What was surprising, however, was how seamlessly guys who either hadn’t played seniors at all (Mitch Brown) or haven’t played in over a year (Motlop, Gillies, Simpson) slotted in and looked like senior players: They knew exactly what was expected of them as lesser parts of a greater whole.

Developing that squad of 35 or so players, all together, has seen the adjustment period not only shortened but seemingly removed completely. Granted, it is only year one of the substitution rule and of Chris Scott, but if the first 3 months are anything to go by, we are literally on a winner.

18 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

Insightful piece Captain.
There certainly has been a bit of media attention over here in the west regarding the Eagles' push for a dedicated reserves team.
Perhaps its value is demonstrated by how seamlessly the collective Geelong group operates? The Senior team's win/loss ratio is 13-0 while the Magoos are 1-10 for the season.
Both teams won their respective league in 2007, but it would appear that the current emphasis is not about winning in the VFL, just that they play "The Geelong Way."

-Basso Divor

12:18 am  
Anonymous attila said...

I like the soccer squad reference. One of the downsides I can see to the trend continuing and growing stronger (and its a "good" downside to have) is at the pointy end of the season though.

AFL is all about the Grand Final, and the team that plays in the Grand Final. With regular squad rotations and people being dropped for rests rather than poor form, you are going to get a bigger pool of players who have "earned" a GF spot through their season play. That means more Blake/King type decisions, with all the distraction and disharmony that goes along with that.

9:37 am  
Blogger the captain said...

Good points made by both of you there, Basso and atilla - Just what is our best 22? And I was planning on writing a bit about the VFL team's performance (having wandered down to Port Melb to watch last weekend) but ended up rushing to write this yesterday and left it out.

And, to those who left more questions, I'll eventually get to them, sometime after Geelong smash the Bombers. So feel free to keep em coming.

11:53 am  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Every few weeks we get a very insightful, serious and relatively comedy and pun free blog. And I always enjoy reading them.

Great job.

-Tee from Vancouver

4:16 pm  
Anonymous Perthcats said...

Onya Captain. Great blog, and as a Cats supporter who was never from Geelong over here in WA, when I started watching AFL as a kid, the Cats really drew me in as a team that was different from the rest, including the then aspiring West Coast Eagles.

Clearly there is a combination of many things that set this great team aside from how the rest go about it. The location, the only true Victorian home ground stadium, 2nd (VFL) side, administration, the talent spotters, the fitness crew (with the so-called oldest list in the AFL), the fans - the whole economy can change based on a Grand Final win, and supporters who overall tell the game like it is. We'll all continue to be treated to Greatest Team of All for some time yet. GO THE CATS!

7:00 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Motlop and Brown get the opportunity to play back to back games - and against seriously B grade opposition - excellent decision by the Cats.

Hatchet has been reminded in no uncertain terms where he sits in the pecking order.

What is West up to nowadays, do he and Blake hang out at some freaky tall person bar and mutter into their beers?

The shit we are going to do to the Bombers tomorrow night would be illegal in most US states.

Paddy Ryder has had the heat put on him in the last week about his attitude. Who actually thinks he is the kind of guy that will respond to such pressure by actually giving a flying fuck?

9:53 am  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

If we were playing one of the good teams this week, hypothetically, do you think it would be too early to say that we might miss Taylor Hunt's run out of defence?

-Tee from Vancouver

3:34 am  
Anonymous fustercluck said...

Atilla, I like to think that Westy is helping Blake is write his Liston Trophy acceptance speech, which he will never get to read in public. I agree about tonight's game, I can't see it ever being broadcast in Utah. Has anyone dared suggest an Asshatting this season?

Captain, a while ago I suggested "smellier" as a nickname for Taylor Hunt. Scrap that. How about "corridor boy".

Tee said: "Every few weeks we get a very insightful, serious and relatively comedy and pun free blog. And I always enjoy reading them.

Great job."

Absolutely agree, and I reckon it might be because the Captain actually thinks we can take the flag this year. Is he in 2007 form?

...fustercluck...

11:16 am  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

LOLMAO @ Corridor Boy.

There is some serious thought and ponder about for sure, you don't have to be a genius like Norman Einstein to work that out. I think there is certainly more than just some token blogging going on here. He's certainly not been phoning it in this year like he did last year.

There is starting to be some pieces to the premiership puzzle coming together.

-Tee from Vancouver

12:35 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Fuster, you got an email? I might be able to find you a stream somewhere.

-Tee from Vancouver

12:36 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Well don't I feel stupid now.

Not as stupid as the guy who blew a million on the Cats at $1.09 though I guess.

11:10 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I have no sympathy for the man who loses 1 million. I just hope he doesn't have a family that will suffer as a result.

-Tee from Vancouver

6:57 pm  
Anonymous Californian Cat said...

Great comments about the role the Geelong VFL team plays in the club's success. Player development is key to ongoing competitiveness, and the VFL squad seems key to player development (and rehab); I'm reminded of how having a strong farm system is so important in professional baseball. The way players can be shuffled between the majors and the Triple A farm clubs seems not dissimilar to how the Cats are using their VFL squad.

Focusing on the "farm" VFL team will indeed be critical for the Cats' ongoing success, as the Captain pointed out. It allows for consistency in training, strategy and in developing "the Geelong way."

Wish my baseball Dodgers would also focus on improving the quality of their "magoos" (love that expression, wherever it comes from).

Anyway, thanks for the insight and onward and upward vs. the Eagles next week.

1:09 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Mitch Brown's mother must have run over a gypsy woman or something - Brown is out for the season with a shoulder reco.

Magoos = twos, with Magoo taken from Mr Magoo (according to the Oxford anyway)

5:25 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Would it be completely unfair to compare Mitch Brown to Nablett, in terms of tenacity (or Max-ness)?

I suppose Brown's got body confidence as an excuse, as opposed to just, well, laziness.

8:44 am  
Anonymous attila said...

My thoughts:

I hate losing, but I hate Bruce Mcaveney more.

The umpires did things to Otto that Gra Gra B has long dreamed of doing.

The only person who had a worse night than Josh Hunt was Channel 7's TV director - what the fuck was up with some of those camera angles and replay choices?

8:24 am  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

I just like the MJF picture!

L

9:33 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Captain, I thought this image would be useful to save and use in a later blog at some time in the near of distant future.

http://resources1.news.com.au/images/2011/07/12/1226093/421121-geelong.jpg

-Tee from Vancouver

5:56 am  

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