Thursday, January 15, 2015

What Good Luck, What Bad Luck


With the one-day cricket World Cup set to kick off in Melbourne next month, let's take a look at the recently selected squad and take a stab at the best/worst case scenarios for each player. 

Michael Clarke (c)
Best Case: He regains his fitness and slots seamlessly into the team where his tactical nous, world-class fielding and experienced middle-order batting lead Australia to a memorable World Cup victory on home soil. After raising the Cup, Clarke immediately retires from limited overs cricket but not before making one final move as Australian captain; firing Shane Watson.
Worst Case: Clarke remains unfit for the entire tournament, instead forcing himself upon us in the commentary box and increasingly self-important Gatorade commercials.

George Bailey (vc)
Best Case: Leads the team in the same creative and successful way he has already in Clarke’s continued absence and cements his role as a middle innings pusher and end of innings destructive hitter. Memorably takes 32 off one Stuart Broad over.
Worst Case: The selectors listen to my pleas of two years ago to put him back in the Test team.

Pat Cummins
Best Case: Bowls at 150km/h, takes bags of wickets, breaks Stuart Broad’s thumb.
Worst Case: The stress fractures in his back flare up again ruling him out of the tournament and leading Cricket Australia to trial radical surgery to combine the remaining intact spinal pieces of Cummins and James Pattinson into one uber 6’5” fast bowler called Jametrick Cumminson who looks like a schoolboy and sledges like a bikie… Wait… was this best case or worst case?

Xavier Doherty
Best Case: Doherty made the team?
Worst Case: Really?

James Faulkner
Best Case: He becomes the team’s go-to death bowler as well as a clutch hitter late in games, as we’ve already seen in the Big Bash. Also gets a less douchey haircut. 
Worst Case: Ian Harvey-lite.

Aaron Finch
Best Case: Becomes a reliable, destructive opening batting partner for Warner who wins a few games off his own bat.
Worst Case: His technique gets exposed at the top of the order, leading to early dismissals, leading to a spiral of depression, leading to an eating disorder, leading to him blowing up like 2015 Big Bash Jacques Kallis. (Seriously, have you seen Kallis? He looks like Bill Brownless.)

Brad Haddin
Best Case: I don’t know, maybe a couple of late innings slogs? Two missed stumpings? When’s the last time he actually looked like making runs? It’s not like there’s a shortage of wicketkeeper/batsmen at the moment.
Worst Case: During the final versus New Zealand, as Australia are about to face the final ball with 2 runs required to win, Haddin storms from the stands as Rod Stewart’s “Do ya think I’m sexy?” blares from the P.A. WWE-style (“My God, is that Brad Haddin’s music?!”) Haddin proceeds to tear off his Australian jersey revealing a NZ one underneath and rolls in the final delivery underarm. The umpires immediately call a halt to play, Haddin is escorted away by security and Australia go on to win anyway. 

Josh Hazlewood
Best Case: Great economy rate, plenty of top order wickets, sensible haircut. The evolution to becoming Glenn McGrath 2.0 continues.
Worst Case: Batters start knocking him off his length, his metronomic qualities working against him, and the selectors make a late change for Doug Bollinger.

Mitchell Johnson
Best Case: Good Mitchell Johnson.
Worst Case: Bad Mitchell Johnson.

Mitchell Marsh
Best Case: The selector’s (and my) white whale is found: a genuine all-rounder.
Worst Case: Selectors tell us he’s an all-rounder and then play him as a batter only because he is too injured to bowl, and although he continually fails with the bat, he demands to stay in the top 3 and is for some reason granted this wish despite his figures with the bat being worse than Mitch Johnson’s and his figures with the ball being worse than Michael Clarke’s. Hmm. This sounds awfully familiar.

Glenn Maxwell
Best Case: Does his best Andrew Symonds impression; comes of age with the bat when needed, chips in with crucial wickets, responsible for 3 to 4 ridiculous run-outs/catches and provides continuous, un-broadcast-able sledging. Of Stuart Broad.
Worst Case: I don’t know, maybe something like this?


Steve Smith
Best Case: He continues his ‘deal-with-the-devil’ good form, bats permanently at 4 and breaks the World Cup record for “most runs” as well as “most box adjustments”.
Worst Case: Starts dating Lara Bingle, his hamstrings turn to sawdust, a diamond stud appears in one ear and a Rexona TV commercial is filmed. (Note: Possibly related to the afore-mentioned ‘deal-with-the-devil’.)

Mitchell Starc
Best Case: He finds his length and becomes a deadly end of the innings bowler with an unplayable late in-swinging yorker that continually makes a mess of English batsmen’s’ stumps, particularly Stuart Broad's.
Worst Case: He marries Ian Healy’s daughter ensuring preferential treatment in the media and endless fluff pieces featuring Starc and Ian awkwardly teasing each other. Ugh. I miss David Boon.

David Warner
Best Case: Warner makes approximately 1950 runs throughout the tournament (including an unforgettable 303* vs England) and is never actually dismissed, carrying his bat through every match, earning him a romantic, if not unjust, legacy as Australia’s greatest batter without a World Cup average.
Worse Case: Loses his footwork and becomes the bunny of one of the world's best quick bowlers, Stuart Broad.

Shane Watson
Best Case: He makes enough runs and takes enough wickets to remain in the team.
Worst Case: He makes enough runs and takes enough wickets to remain in the team.

27 Comments:

Anonymous Fustercluck said...

I'll say it Captain. Batter. That's Bullshit Yankee-speak. Cut it the fuck out. It's Batsman my good man, Batsman! Good thing you have lots of credit in the bank, I'm sure we can forgive this indiscretion.

...fustercluck...

9:52 pm  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

Hey Cap, since the pyjama circus is done on Sunday, any chance we might shift focus to the Cat's campaign 2015? Clark, Cocky, Guthrie, Blitz, Gregson, Lang have shown a bit or plenty throughout the NAB series, things may be looking up in Cat Land.

...fustercluck...

2:54 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Some of these predictions turned out to be pretty bang on Captain, though Shane Watson seemingly did enough to remain in the team sadly.

8:39 am  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

Attila, I was worried that Watto was going to get the winning runs, thus cementing his spot in the side for 2 years. Credit where it is due to the selectors, the choice to go with Josh Hazelwood for the finals instead of Pat Cummins was spot on.

Got my tickets for the Easter Monday game, MCC members, sitting with my Hawk supporter mate, gonna watch those pricks unfurl their fucking flag, then hopefully the Cats will put them to the sword.

Go Cats!!!!!!!!!

...fustercluck...

12:58 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Come on Captain, surely that insipid performance against the Whoreks is enough to get you fired up? Where's the bile? Where's the vitriol? Don't you want heads?

Basso Divor

8:06 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

What about now?

Basso Divor

1:14 pm  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

I don't envy you Basso, over there in WA, ass deep in Wharfie-Turds.

A bit of critique.

How about if the Cats, who have 4 or 5 fit ruckmen/ruck options, play Dawson Simpson in the VFL?

Because:

a) in the AFL he does FA around the ground, and is fucking extra chromosome slow in making up his mind when he does happen to acquire the Sherrin.

b) at the moment, he seems to be a tap ruckman only.

c) at present, when he does get first hand on the ball in a ruck contest, he paddles it straight down the opposition midfield's throat 4 times out of 10.

In the NAB Mitch Clark did some pretty impressive work in the ruck and set up some clearances doing so. Yes he can be the CHF we so desperately need, but I wouldn't mind seeing more of a shared ruck/forward role from the tattooed one. It is worth remembering that Sex Fingers Ottens himself was the answer to all of our key forward dreams, before returning to his ruck roots and winning us 3 flags.

Motlop. You fucking owe us. Take your fucking guitars down to Cash Converters and then harden the fuck up. You are better than the cruisy, flash in the pan Rioli-Esque marshmallow that shows up most weeks wearing your guernsey. I/We expect a response to your punishment/humiliation on par with that shown by Stokesy or Stevie J when they fucked up.

Josh Caddy. Or should I say, Joel Corey 2.0 - (one day...maybe?) Find ball. Use ball well. Run like fuck and provide some options. Take Mitch Duncan with you.

Corey Gregson and Darcy Lang. Keep doing what you are doing boys.

Cocky. Do your thing. Tackle, run like the wind, you probably have this week against Gold Coast and then they will run you in the VFL for a while, make the most of it.

Someone else have a go, I'm shagged.

...fustercluck...

8:05 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

You’re right Fluster, the dorkers supporters ooze out of the woodwork in my office whenever they win. The silly pricks think they’ve already got it won … April premiers!

I agree regarding Simpson, there certainly is a lot of Silkwork Blake about him. I’m not sure McIntosh is the answer though; currently more of an Orren Stevenson ‘break glass in case of emergency’ role. Lock Rhys Stanley in the gym until he puts on 7 or 8 kilos! He’s only 23 and you know what they say about the bigger blokes!

I reckon the time has come to focus on the rebuild. It looks like all those haters are finally right (mind you they’ve been calling our demise since 2010), so give the kids a run – throw Kolodjashnij and Thurlow (when he’s fit) into defence. If they don’t show something, trade them in and head back to the draft. Wells has a great track record, so there’s little to fear there. Forget throwing money at Dangerfield unless we can also get Gold Coast Gary back at Jan Juc at a ‘sorry-guys-I-owe-you-one’ price! Hang onto the dollars to keep the current group together.
It takes time, but the team needs to be developed through early recruiting and development and maybe topped up when the premiership window is fully open.

There’s my five cents …

Basso Divor

1:56 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Amen Gents.

Simpson is a liability, and although Rhys Stanley has a strong potato smell about him, he has to be a better option.

Gregson is my new Wojinski style crush.

We are going to be trading on reputation for awhile I think, with people not realising just how vulnerable we are. There have already been some good money making opportunities - e.g. the super line on Freo of -28 points was paying $3.70, and a mauling was always on the cards.

2:08 pm  
Anonymous Attila said...

Hope you listened boys - North at a line of 7.5 points was free money...

The umpires were blatantly cheating in favour of Norf, but that wasn't the difference. Even Harry ''Beaver' Taylor was rubbish, which is never a good sign.

7:02 pm  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

"Beaver" lol. Throw in Goofy too.

That Play on call as Josh Walker is lining up for goal and resulting instant tackle and holding the ball awarded to Lyndsay "Louganis" Thomas was dog-shit. Frees were 27-11 and if the 50/50 decisions weren't 15-2 in North's favour, I must have been watching another game. Cats were a lot better today than the past 3 weeks and had enough chances throughout the second half to win the game.

Caddy is a bit of a passenger. Motlop's indecisive zig-zag "here you have it" shit is driving me nuts. FFS we need to give Hawk some space and some good crumbing support, at times our forward 50 is scrums and half chances at best. Thought Mitch Clark was good playing a bit further up the ground at times. Stanley was pretty good, despite the Channel 7 commentators flinging gold plated jizz at Goldstein. Jed Bews I liked and yep little Gregson, pick him every week. Guthrie might have had his best game for the year, playing in the middle a bit more. Dean Gore needs to debut soon and I hope they don't throw Walker on the scrap heap again.

One and fucking Three!

...fustercluck...

8:23 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Jeez Kelly - when I said I would give my left nut to see Geelong beat the Toigs for the 11th time in a row, I didn't expect you to take me literally...

Good win, but let's not forget what a toilet team Richmond are. Any team dumb enough to keep bombing it in to Rivers, Beaver and Lonergan deserve everything they get.

Also good to see Scott acknowledge that playing Duncan away from the middle when he is one of only two players who can be fucked getting their own ball was a mistake.

Loved Bews trying to impersonate his old man's goal of the year as well - shame he buggered it up.

3:15 pm  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

Spot on Attila re Duncan, he has got to play in the middle. Who exactly have the Pies defeated to deserve their new found "contenders" tag. Brisbane? StKilda? Essendon? Carlton? And they got face-shagged by Adelaide in Melbourne. Not screaming top four material to me. Cats lead all day and were fairly comfortable against the the Punt Road "Latrines" while missing 6 of their current best 22 (Stokes, Kelly, Stanley, Clark, Bartel, Mackie).

Cats by a few goals Friday night.

...fustercluck...

6:20 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

When Stanley is in our best 22 you know its time to man the lifeboats though.

At least there is some good news on the injury front - Smedts is out for 2 months with a broken collarbone, which thankfully will keep him the hell away from the 1sts.

I don't share you confidence re the Pies - I agree that they haven't beaten anyone decent to justify the media circlejerk, but they have at least beat up on a couple of the rubbish teams they have played - apart from that glorious 6 minutes where we reminded Richmond what our ballsacks tasted like, we haven't really shown the desire (or ability) to do that. More than happy to be wrong of course.

2:02 pm  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

Told ya. 2 in a row and flying. Is Cloke the worst clutch set shot from 25 metres in the history of the game?

...fustercluck...

1:27 am  
Anonymous attila said...

Yep, if anyone needs any more footy oracle work done, I'll be in my trailer...

How hilariously bad is Cloke from less than 50m - it's comical.

Loved the work of Cory Gregjinski - though he could have bagged even more.

Go cats.

11:04 am  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

Don't know what I enjoyed more? The way we ended the game in the first quarter or the way we finished them off with 3 goals in a minute in a minute. Both were echoes from the good old days, were they not?

Interesting when Luke Darcy said last night that Stanley and Blicavs are the most dangerous ruck combination in the AFL.

How is Kersten keeping Walker out of the ones?

Go Cats

...fustercluck...

9:45 am  
Anonymous attila said...

Sorry, I tuned out when your sentence began with "Luke Darcy said..." - that man is a waste of skin.

Agree completely on the echoes of the good old days. There was one coast to coast goal via a string of handballs (and at least one recovered fuck up that I am going to pretend didn't happen) that was so 2007 I think a bit of pee came out when I saw it.

Rhys "Potato" Stanley had a great game, and showed the difference it makes when your ruckman isn't a complete spastic.

Re Kersten - my only guess is that his ability to hit the goals from outside 50 (he has an enormous leg on him) is giving him the edge. Adding Walker to Porkins and Clarke and you have three big blokes running around inside 50 clogging up space. Have one of them who can run up a bit more and still give the defenders something to think about might be the strategy. Buggered if I know though - I talked up Ryan Gamble as a third forward option back in 08, so I clearly have little idea of what I am talking about. Which, neatly, makes me similar to Luke Darcy.

10:34 am  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

Say that again....

...fustercluck...

2:41 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Did the building of the new stand at KP disturb an ancient Indian burial ground or something?

Bartel is in hospital with his knee. Vardy has just gone back under the knife for his knee, Menzel's knees are now a punchline, Cowan's "heartwarming" return to football lasted about 12 minutes, and Duncan is out for months with a broken foot.

McIntosh and Simpson are probably injured as well, but would anybody notice?

2:43 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Oh good, now I can add Clarke and Stanley to that roll call of injured - yay.

As with the Norf game, it wasn't the reason we lost, but by god the umpiring in WA shits me. That wasn't the rough end of the pineapple - that was the pineapple cut in half so they could roger us with both end simultaneously.

Not a huge number of positives to take out of the game. Hawkins was in beast mode but got so few chances it didn't make any difference. Selwood desperately needs help in the middle, and Caddy is only doing it occasionally.

That said, our back six is still very solid, our forward line can still be menacing - if we could get a fit ruck/mid team going (and maybe add a raging mercenary/hard ball animal like Dangerfield...) then we would still give plenty of good teams a scare.

8:19 am  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

We're good at both ends of the ground but the midfield is a long way from being elite, particularly with the veterans being kept out of it (except for Johnson).

Does this group have it in them to dominate the comp & be contested beasts? If so, how far away is that from eventuating? Duncan is a good player & gets high numbers but I can't see him turning into a gun contested player. Guthrie is sort of ok but I can't see him taking the comp by storm. Motlop's great at what he does but is not there to remotely do any contested stuff. Caddy was meant to be the young grunt man to fix that area but you're right Attila; he doesn't have enough impact either.

Personally, my great hope is my man George. I see him as someone who can develop the full package of hardness & skill that the best midfielders have. I really got around him after a big job he did on Josh Kennedy early in 2013. Unfortunately at the moment he's either injured or seemingly not in favour with the coach.

Liking the early work of Gregson & Lang but at the moment they'll only be pinch hitters.

The B Man.

1:24 pm  
Anonymous Fustercluck said...

B Man, I find Horlin-Smith a bit one paced and he is bit military medium, a sort of Derek Pringle into the breeze kind of arrangement.

The Cats are going ok after last nights win in Adelaide, should smoke Melbourne for Enright's 300 and make it to the bye 7-5, not bad considering our injury list.

The only scent of potato coming from Rys Stanley must be coming from a old Saints jumper he has in his locker, his work in the hoops has impressed me so far.

...fustercluck...

12:45 pm  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yes, the St Kilda version of Stanley was far more spudley than what we're seeing now. A pleasant surprise because I never thought he'd have this sort of impact.

I hope George has never seen those old Wide World Of Sports packages on Foxtel which include Derek Pringle or he'll be devastated with the analogy.

I'll take 7-5 at the break & we will smoke Melbourne for Enright's 300th. So happy I'm going to it. Thank god it wasn't interstate.

I'm expecting Jimmy to hobble out there in his full kit even though he won't be selected. Surely the AFL will allow the extra man.

The B Man.

12:55 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Yep, Stanley has made my early comments look rather silly - which I am very happy to cop. Being a Geelong ruckman, he is subject to the gypsy curse though, so of course he then went and got injured for another month or so.

Walker is still a hack who always has an expression on his face like he's forgotten where he left his car keys, but is filling the role, I guess.

12:31 pm  
Anonymous Attila said...

Get used to the lube-free fisting we copped in the middle lads - Stanley is gone for the year. Fuck it.

6:45 pm  
Anonymous attila said...

Well this is an unrelenting shit-show (the football, not the cricket - though that too), so I am going for the silver lining.

The re-signings are good news. Fatty Hawkins leaving was never really on the cards, but still great to lock him in. Thurlow is arguably best kick in the entire team, so we had to lock him in. Lang has shown a bit, so that's good news.

I am coming around to giving Motlop the ass though. He is a freakishly skilled player, but can also be lazy, undisciplined and/or selfish. That combination worked a treat during our golden era (when those traits formed Voltron style into Stevie J) but we don't have enough of the grunt to support the flash like we did back then. Trade him out when his value is up, and grab Danger I say.

12:12 pm  

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